A more positive take from Varoli. I hope he’s right. – Natylie
By John Varoli, Substack, 6/3/24
Last week, the White House stirred up a media frenzy about allowing Kiev to use U.S. weapons to attack sites “inside Russia”, though ostensibly only regarding the HIMARS short-range missile launcher system to hit targets in the Belgorod Region.
What’s behind this decision? Strategically it changes little. So, most likely it’s part of a media campaign to boost Biden’s dismal ratings, to deflect from NATO’s battlefield defeats and to galvanize public opinion in an election year amid the White House’s failed crusade against Russia.
On May 30, the New York Times wrote: “President Biden, in a major shift pressed by his advisers and key allies, has authorized Ukraine to conduct limited strikes inside Russia with American-made weapons, opening what could well be a new chapter in the war for Ukraine. Mr. Biden’s decision appears to mark the first time that an American president has allowed limited military responses on artillery, missile bases and command centers inside the borders of a nuclear-armed adversary.”
No, there won’t be any “new chapter in the war for Ukraine”. As often, the NYT dutifully labors on behalf of the White House to create the illusion that NATO/ Kiev will be able to turn the tide against Russia and then ethnically cleanse the Donbass and Crimea regions of its Russian-speaking population.
The stark reality is that over the past 12 months, the U.S., UK, France and several other NATO states have been helping Kiev to bomb Russian cities, military bases and industrial infrastructure. For example, in summer 2023 the UK began to supply Kiev with Storm Shadow missiles as part of efforts to terrorize south Russian cities.
On May 30, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg admitted that several NATO states “never imposed any” restrictions on the use of their weapons, by which he meant the UK, France and Czech Republic. The latter’s “Vampire” multiple rocket launcher has often been used in Kiev’s terrorist attacks against Russia’s Belgorod Region that have killed many people at family events and city markets.
Meanwhile, for the past 18 months the U.S. Army’s HIMARS system has been used by Kiev to commit numerous war crimes throughout Donbass, especially in the city of Donetsk, where public markets and other civilian areas are often targeted, leaving many dozens dead and injured.
Kiev’s missile and drone attacks over the past year were only possible thanks to U.S. support, primarily real-time battlefield intelligence from Pentagon satellites and Reaper drones operating over the Black Sea. Also, earlier this year the NYT revealed that the CIA plays a direct role in attacks against Russia, which is why the U.S. is now widely considered to be a leading sponsor of terrorism.
Many American experts have erroneously described the recent White House decision to attack “inside Russia” as a watershed that could lead to World War 3. I disagree. Russia won’t take the bait because it’s already winning the war. Time is on Russia’s side. Zelensky’s unpopular regime is collapsing, and there’s also the possibility that all of NATO will go down with him.
Moscow’s reaction to the May 30th announcement to strike “inside Russia” has been relatively mild. Why? First, Russia’s powerful air defenses have been able to deal successfully with most U.S./ NATO missiles and drones; and in general there have been many reports of NATO missiles’ overall poor technical performance, especially when faced with Russian jamming.
Second, Moscow realizes that the White House has a wider plan to ignite the world on fire and kill as many people as possible. Thus, President Putin will continue to exercise the restraint he has shown over the ten years of the Donbass conflict. Moscow only responds by punishing NATO’s offensive capabilities inside Ukraine, never hitting infrastructure and command centers inside NATO, even though international law gives Moscow that right.
Putin’s response last week sounded menacing but don’t expect any threat to be carried out: “Officials from NATO countries, especially the smaller European countries, should be fully aware of what is at stake. Before talking about ‘striking deep into Russian territory,’ they should remember that their countries are small and densely populated. This unending escalation can lead to serious consequences.”
NATO certainly won’t heed that message. In February 2022, Putin warned the West to stay out of Ukraine, but that was quickly ignored. Then in September 2022 Russia’s Foreign Ministry said that if the U.S. supplied Kiev with longer-range missiles, it would cross a “red line” and become “a party to the conflict”. Again, NATO crossed the red line with impunity.
Then, in October 2023, Putin labeled U.S. supplies to Kiev of long-range tactical ballistic missiles (ATACMs) “another mistake by the U.S.” But no punishment was ever carried out, further giving the West reason to believe that Russia is weak. Moscow truly has a credibility problem.
The White House is goading Russia, hoping Moscow will make a rash step — such as a direct attack on a NATO country — in order to justify the start of World War 3. Such a war would play into the hands of the failed Biden presidency, which eagerly seeks a substantial reason to call off the presidential election in November and to decree martial law at home. World War 3 would certainly be that reason.
The U.S. and its Kiev proxy will continue to try to escalate the conflict, sending tens of thousands of forcefully conscripted young men to die in Zelensky’s meat grinder. As someone who worked with Ukraine for nearly 15 years, I’m speechless at how that nation has been brainwashed to die for a blatant fraud and con artist as Zelensky.
The war in Ukraine and all major events of the past five years (such as Covid 19) leads one to conclude that modern western liberalism is a death cult — developing deadly biological weapons, inciting wars across the globe, and subjugating freedom-loving nations that won’t bow to its ‘progressive’ gods. This destructive ideology has brought the world to the edge of a nuclear war in its obsession for global domination to forge its Orwellian “rules-based order”.
History, however, is clear — totalitarian ideologies that seek global domination eventually fail and collapse through internal and external pressures. Internally, the U.S. is plunging into chaos as a feeble and demented president tries in vain to stamp out the last flames of American freedom; internationally the Global South looks to Russia, China and India in a bid to stop the manic ambitions of the West.
We are witnessing one of the most epic confrontations in human history. Truly a glorious time to be alive.
Thank God Vladimir Putin is a calm and reasonable leader, as opposed to the rabid neo-con dogs of war. Long may he rule over Russia and dictate the future of Europe. The sooner NATO and the EU collapse the better.
I hope he is correct, as well, Natylie. However, when wars escalate, matters can spin out of control and quickly, too.