Brian McDonald: What one Russian journalist saw when he came home — and why he stayed | Putin’s spokesman explains why Moscow believes censorship is a weapon of war

By Brian McDonald, Substack, 7/11/25

“The truth is that repression in Russia is still very selective and limited. Even if you’re against the war, it’s much more likely that you’ll be hit by a car or killed by a falling brick than be repressed. But you don’t get paranoid about bricks every time you go outside, do you?”

So begins an extraordinary dispatch from The Moscow Times — which, despite the name, is Dutch, not Russian. The article, written anonymously for obvious reasons, is a quiet, defiant challenge to the dominant media narratives about modern Russia. It’s not a defence of the Kremlin, nor an apology for authoritarianism. It’s something rarer: a dose of clear-eyed realism in an age of curated hysteria.

The author is a Russian journalist who returned home after a year abroad, expecting arrest, surveillance, or worse. Instead, he found… life. Strange, complicated, contradictory life. “Of course, I’m a little afraid,” he writes. “Especially when a friend asks me ‘aren’t you afraid the FSB will arrest you?’ But I haven’t been paranoid for a long time. I’m not the only one in Russia. There are more of us than you might think.”

It’s hard to reconcile these accounts with what you see in Western media, which often treats Russia as if it were North Korea with snow. As someone who’s moved between both worlds it increasingly feels like we’re living on two different planets. There is the Russia of The Daily Mail and Der Spiegel, where jackboots echo daily and citizens speak only in code, terrified of voicing a thought. And then there’s the real Russia — the one 145 million people live in — where bars stay open late, the borders remain unlocked, and you’re far more likely to be hit by a moron on an electric scooter than interrogated by the FSB.

That’s not to say there is no repression. There are arrests. There are prison sentences — some for things as mild as social media posts. There are red lines, and if you cross them — especially on the Ukraine conflict — the consequences can be severe. The journalist admits as much: “Naturally, I have to work very carefully… And if [the police] find out that I write for The Moscow Times or any other banned media, I could face a substantial fine or even a prison sentence.”

But for a country at war, the system is not as suffocating as outsiders assume. There is no mass mobilisation. Men of military age come and go. The nightclubs are full, the restaurants are jammed, and cities like Moscow, St. Petersburg, and even Rostov or Voronezh feel safer than their Western counterparts. Certainly safer than Amsterdam or Paris or Barcelona.

In Britain or Germany today, you can be arrested for posting pro-Palestinian content. That’s not a hypothetical — it’s happening. Some of the Western European states claiming the moral high ground are detaining thousands of people annually for comments on social media. That’s not a justification; it’s a comparison. And in this age of double standards, comparisons matter.

Too many Western outlets seem committed to a storyline where Russia must always be descending, a grim theatre of horror to justify sanctions, decoupling, and moral posturing. The idea that ordinary life continues — that people still laugh, dance, build friendships, fall in love — is treated as taboo. As if noticing it is a betrayal.

Worse still is the sheer volume of stories written by people who haven’t set foot in Russia for years — often based in Berlin, Riga, or even Brooklyn — reporting on a society they no longer understand, quoting “sources close to the Kremlin” who, in reality, don’t exist. Anyone genuinely close to power in today’s Moscow would not speak to Western media; to do so would be essentially treasonous. What we get instead are vague, unsourced whispers dressed up as revelations. Controlled leaks — when they come — go to a tiny, sanctioned few: Reuters, CNN, maybe The New York Times. The rest of the coverage is padded with conjecture, fantasy, and recycled Twitter threads.

The bias drips from every paragraph. Anonymous quotes from “Russian officials” who speak in perfect press-release English and just happen to align with the worldview of Western elites. Descriptions of cities and people that feel airlifted from Cold War thrillers. A steady refusal to admit that Russia, despite sanctions, war, and geopolitical isolation, is functioning. Not booming in the headline-friendly style of Singapore or Dubai — but trundling along in a way that undermines the narrative of collapse.

Take, for instance, a breathless Daily Beast piece last month titled “Meet the Woman Who Vladimir Putin Fears the Most.” Not a general, not a rogue ex-oligarch, not a cyberwarfare genius — no, apparently it’s a 32-year-old feminist poet. Daria Serenko herself laughed at the absurdity, saying she nearly fell off her chair when she read it. Her activist group can’t even muster 100 Patreon subscribers. She never claimed to be Putin’s nemesis — that fiction was concocted in an English-language newsroom by people who don’t speak Russian, don’t understand the country, and frankly don’t care. It’s not journalism. It’s political fan fiction: a feel-good morality tale for Western audiences, where every Kremlin critic is a lionhearted hero and every headline is a cartoon villain monologue. And if they’ll invent that, what else will they invent?

What this journalist captures so powerfully is the schizophrenia of exile — the gap between what you’re told and what you see. “I think many journalists in exile become prisoners of their own bubble of like-minded anti-war emigrants,” he writes. The exiled media, he suggests, increasingly focuses more on the Russian diaspora than on Russians themselves.

And there are things they miss. “Over the last few months, I’ve met queer people who have found common ground with Z-patriots through unusual situations. I have spoken to hippie hermits who have gone to live in remote forests… I have visited communes in Moscow and St. Petersburg where leftists, queer people and artists live and stage guerrilla art actions.”

That doesn’t sound like a hellscape. It sounds like life under pressure. People don’t vanish; they adapt. They navigate. They find workarounds. And they tell their stories — carefully, quietly, but with conviction.

The most revealing passage might be the one where the journalist describes a quiet moment of paranoia. Sitting in a cafe with a colleague, who whispers: “There’s a guy sitting there. Behind you, with his back to us, behind the bar… I think he was on the bus with me.” They left quickly, just in case.

Even that tension fades. Eventually, he stopped scanning rooms and looking over his shoulder. What replaced the fear wasn’t denial, but familiarity. A survival instinct fine-tuned not to hysteria, but to realism.

In the end, he chooses to stay. Not because it’s safe. Not because it’s easy. But because, as he writes, “I am much more afraid of missing the unfolding story here, of leaving and never returning home. So between those two fears, I choose to face the first one.”

That, in its quiet bravery, may be the most subversive line of all. Not every Russian unhappy with the status quo is in Paris or Berlin. Some remain in Perm or Samara, in cafes and train carriages, staying grounded in reality and rejecting the imported panic.

You won’t read much about them in the West. But they’re still here. And they’re still living. And laughing. And crying. Some are still writing.

***

Putin’s spokesman explains why Moscow believes censorship is a weapon of war

By Brian McDonald, Substack, 7/11/25

If you want to grasp how Russia views itself in the grip of war—how it rationalises, justifies, and narrates its choices—then Dmitry Peskov’s latest interview is essential reading. The voice of President Vladimir Putin for over two decades, Peskov rarely wastes words and seldom speaks off-key. His conversation with Expert magazine, timed to the outlet’s 30th anniversary, lifts the curtain on how Moscow now sees the press: as both a weapon in its arsenal and a shield against what it calls hostile information fire.

As both press secretary and deputy head of the Presidential Administration, Peskov’s words carry institutional weight.

In Western capitals, the verdict on Russia’s press restrictions is swift and damning: censorship, propaganda, control. But what’s seldom heard—perhaps because few bother to listen—is how the story sounds from Moscow’s side of the glass. Peskov, speaking without bluster, lays out a case that’s less about silencing dissent than about holding the line in what he calls an information war. It’s not a plea for sympathy. It’s an argument for why the Kremlin sees the narrowing of the media field as long overdue.

“Now is a time of military censorship—unprecedented for our country,” he says bluntly. “The war is being waged not just with weapons, but in the information space.”

The argument is not new, but the framing is telling. According to Peskov, Russia faces a two-pronged challenge: a hot war in Ukraine and a broader information campaign waged by foreign-backed media and hostile platforms. He believes that some Russian-language outlets—operating from abroad—are explicitly geared toward undermining the Russian state.

“There are media that deliberately engage in discrediting Russia,” he says. “And it would be wrong to ignore them.”

He defends the restrictive environment as a necessary response not only to the war, but to what he characterises as years of adversarial coverage. In Peskov’s telling, skepticism toward Russia was baked into the editorial DNA of some domestic newsrooms and effectively institutionalised.

“I would even say that for a number of Russian media, expressing doubt or negativity about their own country was part of the editorial policy.”

The rise of more patriotic coverage over the past three years, in his view, is a corrective—not an aberration.

“Being a patriot is not some great achievement—it’s a normal human condition,” he says.

Peskov does concede that some loyalist outlets might go overboard, adding with characteristic sharpness: “There will always be those to whom the saying applies: ‘Teach a fool to pray, and he’ll knock his head against the floor.’”

But Peskov—Putin’s long-time spokesman—is firm in his belief that Moscow has no intention of returning to what he sees as the bad old days—when tearing strips off the country passed for analysis, and constructive criticism was in short supply. He reserves particular ire for Meduza, the Riga-based outlet branded a foreign agent by Moscow, dismissing its tone as “rabid.”

That criticism doesn’t land in a vacuum. Even before the war in Ukraine, Russia had long grown used to its portrayal in Western media—a country boxed in caricature, its failings broadcast with clockwork regularity, its achievements barely granted a line. You’d be forgiven, surveying two decades of headlines, for thinking Russia had no scientists, no artists, no valid grievances—just villains in suits and shadows.

Meanwhile, some of the loudest Russian-language outlets—The Moscow TimesCurrent TimeSvoboda, and yes, Meduza—were openly funded by Western governments or affiliated institutions. That funding wasn’t a secret, nor was it apolitical. Western states didn’t bankroll these outlets out of curiosity. They funded them to serve strategic purposes—and flattering Moscow was never on the brief.

Faced with this imbalance, Russia built its own response—RT, Sputnik, a global push to tell its story in its own words. But the effort was swiftly met with claims of propaganda and blacklists. Since 2022, RT has been barred across the EU. Moscow, for its part, answered in kind, shutting out a host of Western-funded publications from operating on its soil.

So now, we’re left with a media world split down the middle: two narratives, each one largely sealed off from the other, each convinced of its own authority.

Even Peskov seems to grasp that this stand-off can’t last forever. Not if you want to keep the public’s trust. Not if you want to build anything that might pass for consensus.

“Of course, the time will come when a softer information policy will be in demand,” he says. “Then we will see the emergence of a larger number of neutral media outlets—those that write about both problems and achievements.”

But if there’s to be that future, it will have to reckon with the cost of the present. The sharpening of Russia’s media laws has not come without consequence. Since 2022, statutes targeting “false information” and “discrediting” the armed forces have been used to detain and jail a range of voices.

In April, four journalists were each sentenced to five and a half years in prison over alleged ties to a group founded by the late opposition figure Alexei Navalny. All four denied wrongdoing, saying they were being punished not for conspiracy, but for their reporting. Maria Ponomarenko, another journalist, is serving a six-year sentence over claims she spread falsehoods about the Russian military.

Of course, not everyone buys the hymn sheet. Human rights groups call the new laws a wrecking ball for press freedom. Even within Russia, there are voices—quieter now, but not gone—that see the Kremlin’s doctrine less as strategy, more as slow suffocation.

Cases like these are held up in the West as emblematic of repression. Yet Russia is not alone in drawing blood where journalism cuts too close: according to the Committee to Protect Journalists’ 2024 global census, Israel jailed more media workers in Palestine and its occupied territories than Russia. Still, the Kremlin’s legal red lines have been drawn with unmistakable force.

As the news cycle barrels forward—shorter, louder, faster—Peskov sees opportunity in slowness and specialisation. He argues that in an age of instant takes and shrinking attention spans, demand is rising for curated, subject-driven content in niche sectors like aviation or metallurgy.

“There is a huge layer of sectoral issues that are of public interest, but which few are seriously analysing,” he notes.

In his telling, the future of journalism won’t hinge on speed but depth—on mastering a field and making it legible to power. That’s the role he sees for serious media going forward: to support informed decisions, not just spark arguments.

Whether one agrees with his views or not, Peskov’s remarks are essential reading for anyone seeking to understand how Russia sees the information war—and why the Kremlin sees its current media doctrine as both deliberate and necessary

In a world where every side preaches its own gospel, it helps to hear the sermon from the pulpit itself. You don’t have to believe it. But you do need to understand it. This is one of those moments.

Matt Taibbi: Russiagate Hoax Now Exposed by Today’s Document Disclosures

By Matt Taibbi, Substack, 7/18/25

As has been rumored all week, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard began releasing documents this afternoon related to intelligence community shenanigans committed in the waning days of Barack Obama’s presidency, before and after the 2016 presidential election. It’s damning stuff that exposes the Trump-Russia hysteria as a complete and utter fake, and should obliterate the reputation of the commercial news media. There is no answer to these documents.

To take one example, intelligence officials on December 8th, 2016 were prepared to release a Presidential Daily Briefing concluding that “Russian and criminal actors did not impact recent US election results by conducting malicious cyber activities against election infrastructure”:

That “did not impact” memo — exactly the opposite of what the Obama White House would claim a month later — never reached the public, thanks to the intervention of a senior official in Director of National Intelligence James Clapper’s office:

On the following day, December 9th, 2016, members of Obama’s National Security Principals Committee — including Clapper, CIA director John Brennan, Susan Rice, John Kerry, Brian McKeon, Loretta Lynch, Andrew McCabe, and Avril Haines — gathered for a meeting, after which each received an email titled, “POTUS Tasking on Russia Election Meddling.” The email tasked the members with the creation of a new “assessment per the President’s request.”

From that moment forward, intelligence officials began leaking “blatantly false” information about a nonexistent “secret assessment” that Russia intervened to influence the “outcome of the election.” This leaking continued unabated until January 6th, when a new, hastily-crafted Intelligence Community Assessment was released, triggering a series of developments that led to the publication of the Steele Dossier and an explosion of media stories linking Trump and Russia in an unprecedented scandal.

The material is bolstered throughout by explanations of a whistleblower from then-Director of National Intelligence James Clapper’s office. Just this handful of documents holds explosive implications, implicating a much bigger pool of White House officials than previously understood, including Obama himself, in what appears to be a top-down effort to create a false narrative about Russia meddling to help Donald Trump. If there’s an analog in American history, I can’t think of it.

This is a major action taken by Tulsi Gabbard, whose office was earlier reported by Paul Sperry of RealClear Investigations to have hosted an “urgent” meeting in a secure facility last Sunday. They met to discuss “new Russiagate information” with Trump’s Presidential Intelligence Advisory Board as well as officials from the Department of Justice. With this material, she and the rest of this team are taking on a long list of powerful predecessors, and it’s expected she’ll be made the focus of an all-out negative publicity campaign. “Will be a wild ride,” is how one source put it tonight.

More material is coming. I was working on a different part of this story, about plans for possible charges, when these documents came out this afternoon, so I’ve had to start over. More will be out beginning in the morning. It’s a fascinating moment, and we’ll make sure Racket readers are kept in the loop as new material comes out. Have a good night, everyone.

FT: Donald Trump asked Volodymyr Zelenskyy if Ukraine could hit Moscow, say people briefed on call (Excerpt)

Financial Times, 7/15/25

…The conversation with Zelenskyy on July 4 was precipitated by Trump’s call with Putin a day earlier, which the US president described as “bad”.

Two people familiar with the conversation between Trump and Zelenskyy said the US president had asked his Ukrainian counterpart whether he could hit military targets deep inside Russia if he provided weapons capable of doing so.

“Volodymyr, can you hit Moscow? . . . Can you hit St Petersburg too?” Trump asked on the call, according to the people.

They said Zelenskyy replied: “Absolutely. We can if you give us the weapons.” 

Trump signalled his backing for the idea, describing the strategy as intended to “make them [Russians] feel the pain” and force the Kremlin to the negotiating table, according to the two people briefed on the call….

Here is Aaron Mate’s analysis of this report:

According to new reports in the Financial Times and Washington Post, Trump has asked Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky about pressuring Russia by launching strikes deep enough to hit Moscow (The FT account goes further, claiming that Trump “encouraged” those strikes). “We can if you give us the weapons,” Zelensky reportedly told Trump about hitting Moscow. A Western official says that the conversation reflected an intent to give Ukraine long-range missiles capable of “bringing the war to Muscovites.”

These anonymously sourced accounts amount to more hot air. The Trump administration continues to reject Zelensky’s request for powerful Tomahawk missiles, as Biden did as well. That leaves Ukraine with its dwindling arsenal of ATACMs, which were once billed as a “game-changer” only to fall well short. Ukraine briefly ran out of ATACMs earlier this year and has only acquired fewer than 20 replacements since. In April, former Biden National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan admitted that the US gave Ukraine so many of the long-range missiles that it came to a point where “we basically have no more to give.” Moreover, he added, “the idea that they made a major difference operationally in the war has not been borne out by the evidence.”

***

How Trump’s 50-day deadline threat against Putin will backfire

By Jennifer Kavanagh, Responsible Statecraft, 7/15/25

In the first six months of his second term, President Donald Trump has demonstrated his love for three things: deals, tariffs, and ultimatums.

He got to combine these passions during his Oval Office meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte on Monday. Only moments after the two leaders announced a new plan to get military aid to Ukraine, Trump issued an ominous 50-day deadline for Russian President Vladimir Putin to agree to a ceasefire. “We’re going to be doing secondary tariffs if we don’t have a deal within 50 days,” Trump told the assembled reporters.

The threat is unlikely to change Putin’s calculus, however, or bring the conflict to a near-term conclusion. Instead, Trump’s deadline is likely to make his own life more difficult, limiting his future flexibility, putting the settlement he craves farther out of reach, and forcing him to take steps that harm rather than advance U.S. interests.

Trump’s intention to impose “secondary tariffs” on Russia if Putin does not meet his deadline was not well-explained in his press conference with Rutte. Nor was it immediately clear if the planned punishment for Putin’s continued intransigence would include tariffs on Russian trade with the United States or “secondary sanctions” on Russia’s trading partners — or some combination of the two.

Whatever the details, however, looming economic consequences are unlikely to intimidate Putin or convince him to accept an early ceasefire. For starters, if Trump is indeed talking about tariffs on Russian trade with the United States, then his threat is an empty one. The United States imported only about $3 billion in goods from Russia in 2024, meaning that U.S. tariffs will impose little, if any, new costs on Moscow.

If Trump was instead warning that he would impose secondary sanctions or economic penalties on countries like China, the European Union, and India which purchase Russian oil and other goods, then the potential consequences for Russia are higher — if Trump follows through. A U.S. decision to impose economic penalties on Russia’s trading partners would place at risk the income Moscow relies on to finance its war machine, but it would also create political and economic complications for Washington that undermine the credibility of Trump’s threat and its effectiveness as a tool of coercion.

Not only would such a policy disrupt and set back ongoing U.S. negotiations with important U.S. trade partners and put pressure on the U.S. economy, but in the case of India and Europe, it would force Trump to impose painful economic punishments on crucial security partners. Because of these concerns, the United States has historically enforced secondary sanctions only sporadically and selectively, often targeting adversaries but not allies. The same would likely be true in this case.

Moreover, there is no guarantee that even secondary sanctions would cut off Russian revenues, as Moscow has become skilled as using black market transfers and its “shadow fleet” to circumvent U.S. and European economic pressure.

Most importantly, Putin and the Russian economy have shown tremendous resilience to the economic weapons that the United States and its allies have unleashed so far, and there is no reason to expect this time to be different. In fact, the Russian stock market rose almost three percent after Trump’s announcement, suggesting Russian investors share this assessment. As a result, Putin is unlikely to be fearful of Trump’s economic intimidation or sensitive to even the moderate costs additional U.S. economic warfare might impose.

If Trump’s ability to force Putin to the table using economic sticks is limited, then his military leverage is even smaller. Putin has a clear advantage on the battlefield, and the new aid arrangement in which Europe will buy U.S. weapons to send to Ukraine is unlikely to change this.

What weapons Europe can send quickly — purchased from the United States or taken from their own stocks — will be small in number and limited in type. After over three years of war, neither the United States nor Europe have deep reserves of munitions or other kinds of weapons to provide. More weapons can be purchased off production lines, but they won’t arrive for some time and so won’t do anything to help Ukraine’s soldiers in the near-term.

Moreover, defensive weapons like Patriot systems and interceptors — the focus of much fanfare during today’s big announcement — will help protect Ukrainian civilians but do little to reinforce Ukraine’s already strained front lines.

Putin’s continued strikes on Ukrainian cities and decision to press forward with a summer offensive are evidence of his confidence in Russia’s ability to persist militarily for the foreseeable future. It is unlikely the meager military aid package announced on Monday will change his mind on this score.

Ultimately, Trump’s newest deadline, like those that he has issued before, is unlikely to factor into Putin’s decision-making or to change the trajectory of the war. Putin has staked far too much on the outcome of the conflict in Ukraine to stop fighting before achieving his basic objectives or to settle for an unsatisfactory deal in response to an artificial and U.S.-imposed deadline while he still has the military advantage.

In this way, Russia is like any other wartime combatant, unwilling to sue for peace until it is clear that there are no more benefits to be gained from continued fighting.

Rather than bringing peace closer by forcing Putin the negotiating table, Trump’s threats may make near-term resolution less likely, both by hardening Putin’s resolve and by placing at risk newly opened channels of communication between the United States and Russia. The ultimatum also compromises Trump’s effectiveness as a mediator and constrains the flexibility he will need to successfully broker a deal between Russia and Ukraine.

When 50 days is up and Putin has not agreed to a ceasefire Trump will have an unenviable choice to make: demonstrate fecklessness by backing down or take economic actions that will inflict harm on the United States, alienate close partners, and almost certainly push a near-term end to the war beyond his grasp.

There is one glimmer of hope that Trump and others hoping for peace can hang on to, however. Fifty days is a long time, and will arrive in the early fall, as Russia’s summer offensive winds down and the winter approaches. There could be an appetite for another round of negotiations at this point, especially if Putin feels he has achieved enough militarily and prefers a deal that meets most of his war aims to continued fighting.

This shift would be unrelated to Trump’s new deadline, but U.S. national security officials should be preparing the ground to take advantage of the opportunity all the same. This includes pushing hard for bilateral meetings between the United States and Russia at least at the working level and encouraging more direct negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.

Reaching an end to the war in Ukraine will be a lot harder than issuing ultimatums, but openings for peace could still emerge organically soon. Washington should be ready when they do.